Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. Justin Verlander is back and were expecting healthy seasons out of Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman. Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. There is some volatility in our projections for theBraves, who look like the favorite to win the NL East but finish as low as third place in the division standings. The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. The Major League Baseball awards are being finalized and various teams and players are being recognized for their performances this past season. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? It's a win-win, really. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the . LAA Los Angeles Angels. The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). All Rights Reserved. Despite believing that the Astros are more likely to win the pennant, it sees the Rays as a slightly more likely team to win the World Series. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. Sign In. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . Alek Thomas should make his debut at some point in 2022 to join fellow young bats like Ketel Marte, Daulton Varsho and Carson Kelly. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. 1. Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . Jesse Yomtov. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. As for the Washington Nationals, the greatest hitter in MLB (Juan Soto) cant fix their rotation, bullpen nor take multiple spots in the batting order. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. . Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. The . The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. New York received good news with the restrictions on unvaccinated players being lifted. Bringing in Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler adds some thump to the outfield in an outfield that has been inconsistent in recent years. After missing the playoffs by one game last season, 2022 could end up as the perfect year for the Jays to represent the AL in the World Series. Corey Kluber is 36. RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. That doesn't mean anyone should sleep on New York. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. Cactus League. A complete list of this year's voters: . Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Payroll is the one thing keeping the Cleveland Guardians from putting up a great fight against Chicago. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Baseball-Reference.com. I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . Now that the season is over, the parade is done, and the dust has settled it is time to start looking at the 2022 season. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. I like mid-90s for Blue Jays wins in 2022, and that gets us home here. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. The loss of Gray takes away one arm that found success pitching in Colorado, but German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela continued to prove last season that they've figured it out. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. The NL Central hasn't had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. MORE:Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. The 2022 MLB season is finally here. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. TEX Texas Rangers. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. 15 seasons. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. They could match that in 2022. Major League Baseball's 2022 season has arrived. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. Mega Picker; . It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson shined in their rookie seasons, and are expected to continue to improve, and a healthy Nick Senzel could help him live up to his top prospect billing. And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section, register for a free account . 2 spot. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. There are six divisions in the MLB, divided into three . Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . ET (ESPN). Christian Yelich can only get better after . To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. Support FanGraphs. Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. Everyone should. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. USA TODAY. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. The rotation has the biggest question marks, but the signing of Zack Greinke to go along with Brady Singer, Brad Keller and Carlos Hernandez should be able to give the team quality innings. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. There were three last season. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? 9:55 am ET, MLB rumors: Dodgers, Yankees seek depth after injuries, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to miss WBC with knee injury, Kik Hernndez recounts on-field bathroom accident, Phillies top prospect Andrew Painter has tender elbow, Max Scherzer fools hitter with new pitch clock rules, Report: Padres looking to extend Juan Soto, Josh Hader, MLB win totals for every team, best bets on over-unders, Phillies top prospect Painter has elbow tenderness, Report: Padres looking to extend Soto, Hader, Report: Mets to use six-man rotation at times in 2023, Dodgers SS Gavin Lux tears ACL, will miss entire season. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 2. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. Rather astounding. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. FanGraphs Membership. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports. since the new labor deal came together on March 10, and his new 11-year, $182 million contract, seemingly have to prove themselves all over again, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. The Post's Joel Sherman predicts the AL Central: 1. 3 (Freddy Peralta) and a potential Rookie of the year candidate (Aaron Ashby). Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. Maybe. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. Max Scherzer and Justin . But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. Pitching depth will be crucial because of the compressed training period before the regular season starts. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. Just when everyone thoughtthe Rockiesmight be headed toward a rebuild, they go out and make a big splash by signing Kris Bryant.
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