Jesus Castillo, SS His footwork on throws to second is clunky and variable, which often impacts his throw times and accuracy, but the pure arm strength is in there. Hes already taken a sizable step in the breaking ball department in just two pros seasons. With Endy Rodriguez around, it may not matter a ton. His four-seamer was around the same velo as it had been at the alt site, sitting comfortably at 93 mph and maxing out at 95. He mixed in four pitches, with his four-seamer and slider accounting for 88% of his pitches, and the changeup and two-seamer bringing up the rear. He did not pass. The depth-drive approach has extended to the amateur side of things, where the Pirates tend to spread out their bonus pool to at least a couple of over-slot prospects every year. His quality of contact is very good when he does make it, and is already on par with the typical starting major league second baseman even though hes barely 22. Axiel Plaz, C He stayed healthy throughout 2022, throwing 70.1 innings, and was more effective out of the bullpen than in his late-season starts. While hes played a bunch of shortstop, he is much more likely to wind up on the edge of 3B/1B than he is to see middle infield time at maturity. If it does, he should be a 50, and that grade was discussed during the Pirates list-making process. 2023 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. This FV grade is commensurate with a mid-first round high school infield prospect. His Adonis-like physique helps him generate plus pull-side power, and he will show it to you without overswinging he simply lacks bat control and breaking ball recognition. Nicolas has consistent glove-side command of his entire repertoire, and he tends to live on that half of the plate exclusively. The top 38 spots on the list are all 55 FV or higher. Pittsburgh Pirates Top 43 Prospects by Eric Longenhagen and Tess Taruskin February 9, 2023 Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports Top Prospects Team Lists 2023 2022 AL NL Below is an analysis. Neil Walker / 2B 5. In August of 2022, Jun-Seok announced he would skip the September KBO draft in order to sign with an MLB club right away. He throws precise, high-quality strikes with the heater, and the pitch has enough tailing action to have stayed off of A-ball barrels. Melendez (sitting 97) and Mateo (sitting 95) are upper-level relievers with poor control. His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. His delivery has a relief-only look to it. His 2022 performance deserves some age-related adjustment, but its possible we saw flaws in Pegueros game exposed by upper-level pitching. Once-Loved Outfielders He spins the hell out of everything that leaves his hand, in particular his slider, which averaged over 2,700 rpm, but his inability to fine tune his command puts a damper on its utility (his walk rate was an untenable 12.4% across his 75.2 innings of work). Still 17 years old as of initial list publication, De Los Santos DSL barrel rate (its more a proxy for a barrel rate the exit velo and launch benchmarks arent exactly the same as Statcasts Barrels, but its the same idea) is so high that it actually breaks an age-adjusted 20-80 scale, grading out as an 83. Meanwhile, put on the tape, limited though it may be, and youll see an explosive young athlete with a prototypical baseball frame and premium bat speed, sizzling line drives all over the field. He pitched five innings of relief over two games in early May for the Pirates without allowing a run. Martin has plus-plus raw power and a 30-grade hit tool, not enough for first base but maybe enough for consideration overseas. The power might be enough to make him a 1-WAR player if given regular at-bats in the big leagues, but as a second base-only defender, its hard to find an on-roster role for a player like this if they arent hitting enough to play there all the time. Pittsburgh Pirates: Top 10 Players Under Age 26 (as of 4/1/11) 1. Stratton, 26, sat 94-96 mph in 2022 and has a plus-flashing slider that he rarely throws for strikes. They all received. Its bat-missing capabilities are limited to the bottom arm-side portion of the zone, where this two-seam-ish fastball tends to finish. DSL data is noisy, in part because pitchers there dont yet throw enough strikes or with much velocity compared to more advanced levels of the minors. Theres still some prospect clout here because of Nolascos power and long-haul physicality, but at this stage, he should be considered more of power-driven flier than a likely big leaguer. He can already land his breaker in the zone and its angle should help it become a viable back-foot offering to righties. To that point in the season, his mid-teens walk rate had inspired guarded optimism regarding an improved approach, though Nunez also may have become intentionally passive, as his raw swing% was a minuscule 40%. Enmanuel Terrero, OF He projects as a quick-moving no. They have Hunter. The timing of his surgery is more detrimental than that of the other college pitchers, as it ups the odds that he wont (or will barely) pitch in 2023. A few months later, the Pirates emerged as the word-of-mouth favorite to sign him; he inked a deal for $750,000 in January. Most of his swings and misses over the last few years have been on fastballs running away from him, but in 2022, he displayed a more advanced ability to poke the barrel at balls on the outer edge of the plate, extending his short levers in an effort to slap outside pitches the other way. Both feel like high-floored backend or long relief types who need to walk an atypical path to an impact role. Scott, Siani, and Campana all have big physical tools and have all struggled badly from a bat-to-ball standpoint. document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", function () { He has a short arm action, which aids in his command, though refining his location will likely be the order of the day upon his return from injury as he continues to work out of the Pirates pen. It felt like the Pirates were slow-playing him a little too much after the pandemic (Nolasco was easily physical enough to go to Low-A in 2021), but perhaps they simply knew he wasnt ready to parse full-season pitching. Not counting his time at the alt site in 2020, last season was Boltons first time back in competitive action since 2019. Readers should note that taking an aggressive line with players like this has yielded predictably mixed results in the past (so far, so good: Kevin Alcantara, Marco Luciano, Alexander Canario, Jordy Vargas, etc. Looking forward to fangraphs being wrong Campman92 5 min. However, Priester makes up for it with his preferred secondaries a huge, arcing curveball that Priester has had forever, and a more recently developed mid-80s slider both of which have garnered swing-and-miss rates well above the big league average. Top 35 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel November 26, 2018 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Still, his tendency to roll his wrists over early in his swing, breaking up his attack angle, resulted in a groundball rate above 50%. Reports around his once-stellar defense have dimmed, and were hoping its due more to rust and lost time than to an actual regression in ability. But given his age and the amount of runway still afforded to him, this was seen as a speed bump for his development rather than being of great concern at the time. Prospects Coverage | FanGraphs Baseball In addition to sending Bradley back to Boston, the Milwaukee Brewers are also sending two of their top-30 prospects. Its going to be fascinating to watch him develop, and if it doesnt work, hell probably still be a viable reliever. Counter to our past reports, his swing is rather stiff and some of Lopezs length makes him vulnerable to pitches in on his hands. As a right-handed hitter almost all of Endys damage is done on outer-third pitches that he can get fully extended against. He had all the markers of a major league-ready Top 100 prospect prior to the injury, largely due to the progression of his changeup and its usage. 1/ . Johnsons swing bears some mechanical resemblance to Bryce Harpers, especially its lower half usage and finish. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
When healthy, he was a hard-throwing 40 FV reliever. Vilade spent some time near the top of the Rockies list due to his feel for contact. 2023 Updated In-Season Projections Rodriguezs arm is comfortably plus. He was one of the younger players available in the 2022 draft and yet at a listed 205 pounds, Kennedy is more physically mature than most of his peers, even some who are a year or two older than he is. Before he was drafted he was considered, at least at FanGraphs, a more likely reliever due to the quality of his stuff. . He has the stuff to continue developing as a starter just in case things click, but the bullpen is Jimenezs more likely future destination. Triolos swing and footwork in the box make him vulnerable in a couple of obvious ways (high heat, sliders away), and we dont think the 60-grade hit, 45-grade power profile that he has put on paper so far will hold quite that much water against big league arms. While it may seem like a lot of time has passed since he put his name on the prospect map with his otherworldly 2018 DSL performance, Nunez is still very young; hell turn 22 during spring training, where hes a non-roster invitee. He was Rule 5 eligible after the season, and hitters who have performed that well at High-A tend to be added to their clubs 40-man roster, but Lopez doesnt have a crystal clear defensive home and his plate discipline needs a lot of seasoning, so he wasnt a real threat to be taken. Davis was on the IL multiple times in 2022 with issues stemming from a small nondisplaced fracture of his left wrist that he suffered when he was hit by a pitch in May. His curveball was his only secondary to induce an above-average chase rate. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. He has a delivery similar to Ubaldo Jimnezs, where his front side flies way open and he tilts out, which helps Kellington get to a vertical arm slot. His breaking ball has inconsistent length and he has a relief-only mechanical look, but hes throwing quite hard. Many scouts are champing at the bit over Priesters prototypical frame and four- or five-pitch mix, depending on whether you consider his fastballs two distinct pitches. Yean, 21, was once a 40+ FV prospect in Washingtons system. The Pirates have three of those 38 players, with Termarr Johnson ranked 21st, Endy Rodriguez 22nd and Henry Davis 38th. FanGraphs Prospects. He could get a cup of coffee in 2023. From 2017-21, Webbs strikeout rate more than doubled as a result of his uptick in arm strength. window.FGWebsite_head_section.buildProspectsListControls(); He signed for $900,000 and barely played in the 2022 DSL. A core scouting rule of thumb is to take the long view with catchers who have impact offensive potential. A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. Gutierrez has soft, quiet hands, he doesnt tip pitch type or location with runners on base, and he will drop to one knee when he receives some pitches as a means of framing them. Chen was the 22nd-ranked player on the 2019 International Player section of The Board and was generally seen as the best signable high school prospect in Taiwan. After bouncing around many websites covering hockey, he . Carter Bins, C We added RosterResource's Depth Charts; these reflect a team's current. While his walk and strikeout rates were both descent through the first half of 2022, only nine of his 57 hits through mid-June went for extra bases (eight doubles and a home run). He would slot among Priester and Ortiz on this list had he completed a totally healthy 2022. The site listed four Dodgers prospects on their list. Chen is a very advanced righty with a deep repertoire led by his plus changeup. Quants and front office analyst types are more bearish, citing issues with Priesters fastball playability. Selbys fastball sits 96-98 mph and he looks to blow it past hitters up in the zone. His swing decisions and ability to make contact out front and tap into his latent power improved throughout the season. 2022 Pittsburgh Pirates Summary Stats Schedule Player Usage Depth Chart The depth charts found on the Team Pages are based on projected playing time, NOT the current status of a team's roster. He walked more than a batter per inning in 2022. Solometos fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range. His player page shows him above average in UZR/150, OAA and RAA (although only 1 in each of the latter two). Head, who was part of the Joe Musgrove trade, has Kd at a 33% clip in A-ball and might also be in the midst of a swing change that gets rid of his arm bar. Silvera, 18, is a physically mature righty who missed a ton of DSL bats even though he only sits 88-90. His delivery evokes Madison Bumgarners long, slingin lefty arm stroke, and Solometos east/west feel for location is Bum-ish, but dont mistake this for a true comp, as Bumgarner had already made 24 big league starts at Solometos age. Unfortunately, he then lost the 2020 season to the pandemic and most of 2021 to a shoulder injury he sustained just 12 games into the season. His pop times are routinely in the 1.85-1.95 range in part because Endy has a strong arm, but also because hes almost always leaving his crouch before he even receives the pitch on steal attempts, which hastens his exchange. Neither his slider nor changeup is fully baked quite yet, but if either (or both) become viable, they would bring with them a higher probability that Priester slots in as a mid-rotation starter. Chandlers pitching performance wasnt as lights-out as it had been pre-promotion, but it was still a display of the rightys potential. Podcasts: . Barring a velo bump or another significant alteration to some of the more concerning elements of his profile, he looks like a single-inning up/down reliever. DeVito brandishes a five-pitch arsenal headlined by a filthy splitter, but he struggled to locate any of his pitches well enough for them to really complement each other. The powerfully built Kelly, 19, is a squat but loose righty who sits 93-95 mph and throws quality strikes with his fastball. That's nearly 30% of all their picks coming up as noteworthy prospects. ago They do not like solemeto or Gonzalez. Hes 19 and struggled over the winter in Australia. But theres big arm speed here and big riding life to Shims fastball. Diego Cartaya (37) - Catcher Cartaya is listed a little higher in The. The Pirates are going to develop him at many different positions with the hope that he can provide a late-game upgrade at a couple different spots (hes already very good at third base), serve as righty power off the bench, and work in middle relief. After coasting through the low and mid-minors, he finally hit a speed bump in 2022, posting his first below-average statline as a 21-year-old at Double-A Altoona. Bins is athletic for a catcher and has a good arm, but his receiving and contact skills are both 30s. He hit his stride in mid-August with back-to-back scoreless starts in which his four-seamer averaged over 96 across a combined nine innings a high water mark for the season and a true glimpse of his upside. Some aspects of that optimistic projection still exist, while others have changed or are currently absent, but the tools package here is still on par with the middle of the everyday second baseman player population, and were hoping that young Peguero will polish up his games current smudges. The effects of a pro strength and conditioning program might kick-start him down the path toward finding a more consistent release and sustaining the big velocity as a pro starter. Righties get a nice long look at everything Solometo does, and he could be very platoon-vulnerable against big leaguers. Because theyre about the same age as high school draft prospects, apples-to-apples projection and tools comparisons are feasible, which then allows you to triangulate where theyd be selected in a draft based on those comparisons and get a sense of how to FV them. For now, hes lithe enough for third, where he has a shot to be an everyday player based largely on his power projection. Hudson Head, CF His fastball velo is up a tick since 2021, now comfortably sitting in the 95-96 mph range and routinely touching 98. He absolutely towers over his father, who was twice a Baseball America Top 100 prospect but spent most of his pro career in Japan. Mlodzinski started for most of his 2022 season at Double-A but was called upon for middle-inning relief on a few occasions, and though it was only a handful of appearances, he was more effective as a reliever than as a starter. Ortiz rocketed through the system in 2022, skipping High-A and spending most of the season with Double-A Altoona before making his big league debut across four starts in September and October. He maintained his patient approach in Altoona, and when the Double-A season ended, he was sent up to Indianapolis for the last five games of the Triple-A season.
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